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Vanderbilt -2 PickCenter consensus: When I talked to Baylor head coach Matt Rhule in the spring, his parting words were that he thought the Bears would get to a bowl.

I doubted him, but I guess he was right. Baylor outgained their foes by 28 yards per game, while Vanderbilt was pipped by 22 yards per game. Vanderbilt faced the tougher schedule, which included both Notre Dame and Georgia.

Baylor will be without top receiver Jalen Hurd and kicker Drew Galitz , who are both injured. Baylor has the edge on defense and this game is in Texas, so they figure to have the crowd edge.

Both teams are and will fight hard to avoid a losing season. With the game essentially looking like a toss-up, I will lean with the underdog.

Vanderbilt 26, Baylor Auburn was a top team at the start of the year and it has to be disappointed to be here, while Purdue was just hoping to make a bowl and beat rival Indiana in their last game to get here.

The Boilermakers figure to be riding a wave of momentum, with head coach Jeff Brohm turning down the job at his alma mater Louisville and opting to stay at Purdue -- and he is in bowl games.

It would have shocked you at the start of the year to say this, but Purdue has a slight edge at quarterback with David Blough throwing for 1, yards more than Jarrett Stidham and having a to advantage in passing touchdowns.

Purdue also has the most electrifying player on the field in true freshman Rondale Moore , who is a threat to score any time he has the ball and will get the ball receiving, rushing and on kick returns.

While those factors make a good case for Purdue, all of the other positions favor Auburn. The Tigers have a good-sized edge on all three layers of defense and held foes to 46 yards below their season averages, while Purdue allowed opponents 29 yards per game above their season averages.

I give Auburn slim edges at running back and on the offensive line, as well as a solid edge on special teams.

Gus Malzahn is in bowl games, and his team is just since they beat Alabama last year to rise to No. In the preseason Auburn would have been a double-digit favorite, and they need to show their talent edge here.

I guess Auburn is favored on name and conference recognition, because if you look at the teams that Auburn and Purdue have beaten, I think the Boilermakers have a better collection of wins.

And certainly have the better offense. Purdue 31, Auburn Purdue is short-handed along the defensive line, and this is a defense against which the struggling Tigers can finally make some hay on the ground.

Auburn also has a big speed advantage on the outside, and the Purdue secondary will have a tough time covering this wideout group, especially in the one-on-one situations created by play-action if the Tigers get their running game cranked up.

The Boilers counter with an elite playcaller in head coach Jeff Brohm, an excellent quarterback in Blough and a superstar wideout in Moore.

This Boilers -- especially Moore -- are going to get theirs on offense, even against a tough SEC defense. Auburn 38, Purdue I just find it very odd that with all the hype Will Grier had coming out of high school, he will finish his career not having played in one bowl game in his career at Florida and West Virginia.

The other element I look at with these teams is where their expectations stood before the season began. The feeling here is that the Orange will come in more focused, led by their do-everything QB Eric Dungey , who has thrown for over 2.

Syracuse 38, West Virginia Last year West Virginia was without quarterback Will Grier for their bowl game due to an injury, and a 6-foot-1, lightly recruited backup hit 9-of for yards and took a pair of sacks in a point loss to Utah.

The new quarterback is 6-foot-6 Jack Allison , who was my No. To this point, however, Allison has just 10 career pass attempts for the Mountaineers.

West Virginia opened as a seven-point favorite, but the line dropped to West Virginia by 1. Syracuse has a potent offense led by quarterback Eric Dungey and wide receiver Jamal Custis.

The Orange defense has 38 sacks and rates No. West Virginia has played the tougher schedule, but Syracuse has the edge on special teams -- led by First-team All American kicker Andre Szmyt.

I had West Virginia as a field goal favorite with Grier, so I like Syracuse to win this game outright. Syracuse 37, West Virginia This could be my favorite of all the bowl games.

These are two teams that will be excited about being here, with two great fan bases, but I like the Cyclones on the field. Interestingly, Washington State has had a couple of very puzzling bowl performances in the past two years; the Cougars got blown out by Michigan State last year, and scored just 12 points in a loss to a depleted Minnesota team in Maybe the Cougars will bounce back this year, but keep in mind that Mike Leach-coached teams are ATS in their past eight bowl games at Washington State.

Miami, which had fired Al Golden and was in the midst of a coaching change. Iowa State 31, Washington State Will the Cougars come out angry and with something to prove, or will they be disappointed?

That may be the key to this game. Washington State gains 52 yards per game above what their opponents typically allow, and Iowa State gains 36 yards per game less than their foes usually allow.

Iowa State has a solid defense, which allows yards per game playing in the offensive-minded Big 12, but Washington State is also solid on defense, so only a slight edge to Iowa State on that side of the ball.

Iowa State performs well as an underdog, with a ATS record in that role under Matt Campbell, and his teams are also straight up in bowl games.

Iowa State figures to have a slight crowd edge, and has small special-teams and strength-of-schedule edges. I am going to bank on Washington State coming in with something to prove.

While their last game was a battle in a blizzard, the Cougars get to play this bowl game in perfect indoor conditions. Washington State 31, Iowa State While the Cyclones are dialed in on what they see as a historic opportunity, Wazzu coaches heavily emphasized recruiting efforts in the first two weeks after the Apple Cup, and that has come with a cost to bowl prep.

The price of 3. This number was close to a touchdown back on Dec. Michigan figures to come into this game a very determined team.

Michigan is a perfect against Florida all-time, including a bowl win in and regular-season win last year. Florida has three losses this year, and they were by 11, 19 and 21 points.

I could make a good case for Michigan, but Florida head coach Dan Mullen is in bowl games and the Gators field what may be the fastest defense in the SEC.

I am going to look at the total here, which is Florida took on four of my top rated defenses this year and totaled just The final score of that Ohio State-Michigan game pushed this total up into the fifties, and I will take advantage.

Michigan 23, Florida Virginia was picked to finish last in the Coastal division by the ACC media in the preseason, but opened the year before dropping their last three ACC games.

Virginia allowed just yards per game rushing over the first eight games, but that number ballooned to yards per game on the ground over its final four games.

Virginia has the edge on defense, led by a top-notch secondary that finished No. South Carolina 30, Virginia Nevada is miles away from the site of the Arizona Bowl, while Arkansas State is 1, miles away, so neither team should have much of a crowd edge.

Nevada quarterback Ty Gangi has been very steady over the past two years, hitting 61 percent of his passes with TD-INT ratios of and Justice Hansen is an Oklahoma transfer who last year completed 63 percent with a ratio.

While Hansen threw for fewer yards this season for Arkansas State, he improved to a 67 percent completion rate with a ratio.

I give the edge at running back and receiver to the Red Wolves, and they have the stronger offense. Arkansas State has two All-Sun Belt players on defense -- defensive linemen Ronheen Bingham , who had nine sacks, as well as nickelback Justin Clifton.

I was surprised Arkansas State allowed 5 yards per carry this year. Nevada also allows just 3. I give Arkansas State the slight talent edge, and head coach Blake Anderson is in his fifth bowl while this is the first for Jay Norvell, so I will lean with the Red Wolves here.

Arkansas State 35, Nevada This spring, when I went over the defense with Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster, I commented to him afterward that it was one of the youngest defenses in the country and I hoped he did not lose any of his key starters, as the unit was thin.

The Hokies then lost three projected starters, including both starting CBs, over the summer, and then two more starters during the season.

After holding foes to 86 yards per game below their season averages last year, the Hokies allowed opponents 55 yards per game above their season averages this year, which is No.

Despite those numbers, and given the youth and inexperience, I feel coach Foster did a solid job. Cincinnati, on the other hand, has a veteran defense that is holding foes yards per game below their season averages, which is the sixth-best mark in the country.

Those numbers would usually have me siding with the much better defense, but I like the underdog here. Justin Fuente is in bowl games, and Virginia Tech fans travel well; the Hokies are miles closer to this game, so they will have the fan edge.

The Hokies have faced the tougher schedule and will have motivation, as they are almost a touchdown underdog despite being a Power Five team taking on a Group of Five opponent.

The final factor is that coach Foster kept telling me how talented his young players were, and they now not only have a full season of experience, but should also make a significant jump with the benefit of bowl practices.

Virginia Tech played well in their final two games, as they had to win both to get to a bowl game, and now they need to win this game in order to avoid a losing season.

Virginia Tech 27, Cincinnati The Bearcats have lost twice this season -- at Temple, in a game they easily could have won, and at undefeated UCF.

And you know what VT did this year? Yeah, the Hokies beat Virginia and Marshall to keep that bowl streak alive, but now that they are here?

The Hokies also have to deal with a top team in terms of defensive efficiency. About the only reason one could give for liking Virginia Tech in this game is the fact the game is in Annapolis and could be home to a good-sized, friendly crowd.

Cincinnati -6 Predicted score: Cincinnati 30, Virginia Tech At one point this year Stanford lost four out of five games, falling to Notre Dame, Utah, Washington State, and Washington along the way.

At , hopes of the Pac title were gone, but the Cardinal did win their final three games and look to continue that momentum with a look toward next year.

Coach David Shaw took Stanford to the Sun Bowl in and likes the site as well as the organizers, and is happy to be here. Pitt opened the year just , including and point losses, but then won four in a row to clinch the weak ACC Coastal division.

Pitt proceeded to lose their final two games by 21 and 32 points. Stanford has two large edges, at quarterback and receiver. Stanford has one of the tallest groups of receivers, led by JJ Arcega-Whiteside.

Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett topped yards passing just once this season. While Pitt averages yards per game more on the ground than Stanford, the latter still has Bryce Love at running back, and he will want to put on a show in his final college game.

The defenses are close statistically, but I favor the Stanford personnel at all three layers of the defense -- led by second-team All-American cornerback Paulson Adebo , who has 23 passes defended.

Stanford allowed just 3. Add in the coaching as well as the special-teams edge, and I believe Stanford wins this game by double digits.

Stanford -6 Predicted score: Stanford 34, Pittsburgh This year has been status quo for Michigan State, as their offense gained 48 yards per game less than what their opponents usually allowed which is No.

The Spartans averaged just 3. Oregon has large edges at receiver and on the offensive line as well. The game is on the West Coast with Oregon almost 2, miles closer, but Michigan State has faced the tougher schedule.

I have the Ducks ranked in the top 35 on both sides of the ball, so their offensive edge is stronger than their defensive deficit; they have the special-teams edge as well.

I will take the stronger team laying less than a field goal. Oregon 24, Michigan State This much is true. In their past five games, Michigan State has allowed four offensive touchdowns -- and that includes games with Ohio State, Purdue and Nebraska granted, they were played in some cold weather.

The Spartans have also allowed just 4. Since its upset win over Washington, Oregon has not been the same team, losing by double digits away from home to Washington State and Arizona.

The Ducks also allowed 32 points to Utah, a team that has struggled mightily on offense a good part of the year. Michigan State 26, Oregon Michigan State underperformed this season, but they did make Ohio State QB Dwayne Haskins and the Buckeyes offense look as bad as anyone did all season.

If Sparty can do that, I think they can have their way with the Ducks. Michigan State 24, Oregon Mike Gundy is a solid in bowl games, while Barry Odom is with an Oklahoma State squad that has some incentive at and needs a win to avoid a losing season.

The Cowboys have been a wildly erratic team all year. Missouri has four losses, but the Tigers did not have a bad loss all season.

They outplayed Georgia at the line of scrimmage, lost on a field goal with two seconds left in the rain at South Carolina, lost by one point after allowing a touchdown on an untimed down, blew a point fourth-quarter lead against Kentucky and held Alabama to nine points below their season average.

Missouri QB Drew Lock has feasted on weaker teams, and in the final game of his college career faces a pass defense that sits at No.

Oklahoma State, on the other hand, has to adapt with running back Justice Hill sitting this game out. Missouri has a significant edge on both the offensive and defensive line, and has impressed me this year.

Missouri 42, Oklahoma State This game is essentially the Rose Bowl runner-up bowl, after both of these teams lost in their conference title games.

Utah got to the Pac title game despite losing quarterback Tyler Huntley and running back Zack Moss for the final three games of the regular season, and then the Utes lost top receiver Britain Covey in that Pac title game.

Huntley could return here but probably will not start, while Moss and Covey remain out. Northwestern has Clayton Thorson at quarterback, and while he threw for nearly 3, yards, he averaged just Isaiah Bowser emerged during that stretch for Northwestern with yards per game rushing, after the Wildcats had only Utah has the edge on the offensive line, and while Northwestern has a good defense, Utah has the advantage at every layer on defense -- led by defensive end Bradlee Anae , who has eight sacks, and linebacker Chase Hansen , who has tackles and 22 tackles for loss to go with three interceptions.

The Utes also have a significant edge on special teams, with my No. Last year the Pac won just a single bowl game, but that win was delivered by Mr.

Automatic Kyle Whittingham, who is now a fantastic outright in bowl games while Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald is I have established the fact that I feel Utah will win the game, but Northwestern has taken on the tougher schedule, and the underdog is in Wildcat games this year.

While that matchup is a concern, all the other matchups favor the Aggies. Jimbo Fisher has prepped for NC State in each of the last eight years, so he knows their personnel.

He matches up against a secondary that I rate at No. The Aggies have considerable advantages on the defensive front seven and have one of the best special-teams units in the country, while the Wolfpack are middle of the road.

The first lesson starts here. This has to do with the direction these two programs are headed. Both are projected to be high draft picks.

Wolfpack offensive coordinator Eli Drinkwitz was hired to be the new head coach of the Appalachian State program, so who knows where the mindset of the offense will be, even with long time vet Ryan Finley under center.

On the other side, you have Jimbo Fisher, who will be looking to cap off his first season in College Station with a win to start the offseason with a lot of momentum, which they have created through some great recruiting.

The youth of the Aggies is the difference in this game. I think the Aggies win and cover. Fisher demanded and has received tougher practices, more physical play in all three phases and a better commitment to finishing.

They will get all of the hype heading into this game and have earned it, with the defensive line accounting for Iowa has a defensive line that is also top notch, though not as well known.

The Iowa defensive front recorded Mississippi State has the edge in the back seven and has my No. Iowa tight end Noah Fant will miss this game, but the Hawkeyes still have the advantage at receiver -- and even more importantly, I give them a slight edge on the offensive line.

Iowa has my No. This should be a low-scoring game, and I am taking the underdog in a possible upset. Iowa 17, Mississippi State Kentucky has played its best games all season as an underdog with a chip on its shoulder, and I think the Wildcats will play that way here.

Penn State 31, Kentucky Penn State was expected to contend for the Big Ten title but ultimately fell short after two close late losses to Ohio State and Michigan State and a blowout point loss to Michigan.

Kentucky opened SEC play with three impressive wins, only to be outscored by 32 points in their final five SEC games, though they managed two close wins.

Four times over the previous seven games, Benny Snell Jr. Penn State has the stronger team and sends McSorley out a winner. Penn State 24, Kentucky If UCF pulls the upset again here, the playoff committee would have to consider them for a spot in the College Football Playoff next year if they go unbeaten again.

While UCF averages yards per game on offense, they took on only one defense that ranks in my top LSU took on seven top defenses.

Even without their cornerbacks, LSU will have a significant edge on defense with my No. LSU also has a solid edge on special teams.

LSU took on the explosive offense of Ole Miss and won , beat Georgia by 20, led the Miami Hurricanes and beat Mississippi State by 16 points, so they are capable of covering the seven-point spread -- and the Tigers should come in motivated, unlike most Power Five teams in this situation.

I doubt the Huskies will be a willing participant in an arrangement to send Urban out a Rose Bowl winner. This is also a different style of defense than the Michigan unit that the Buckeyes shredded in Columbus, Ohio.

The Pac has collectively had a dismal couple of years. Ohio State 30, Washington Washington was basically three plays away from being unbeaten and in the College Football Playoff, as their losses came by five, three and two points this year.

The Huskies have a substantial edge on defense, as they held foes to yards per game below their season averages, while Ohio State allowed its opponents to gain 11 yards per game above their season averages.

Ohio State has given up big plays all year, and Washington has two explosive running backs, Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed , who could both have long touchdown runs in this game.

Washington also has a top-notch secondary to slow down Dwayne Haskins. While I could make an excellent case for taking the Huskies with the inflated points, Ohio State has the much more potent offense.

The Buckeyes averaged yards per game more than what their opponents typically allowed, and Dwayne Haskins had a TD-INT ratio, while Washington quarterback Jake Browning had just a ratio.

It was once the yearly goal of Ohio State to reach the Rose Bowl, but they have not played in the "Grandaddy of them all" this decade, so they will be excited despite missing out on the College Football Playoff.

Ohio State -7 Predicted score: Ohio State 34, Washington The Bulldogs played their best ball at the end of the year and led Alabama late in the third quarter in the SEC title game.

Many felt Georgia was one of the top four teams and should have been in the College Football Playoff. To help make this website better, to improve and personalize your experience and for advertising purposes, are you happy to accept cookies and other technologies?

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The Aztecs have the edge at all three layers of defense and allow just 2. While my projection calls for Ohio to win by 10 points, San Diego State is a team that plays to the level of its opponent -- and the underdog is ATS in its games this year.

San Diego State did take on the tougher schedule, and it will be motivated as an underdog. Ohio 27, San Diego State South Florida has the clear home-field edge, as this game takes place in its home stadium in Tampa Bay.

While USF will have a small edge on offense, the Herd have a significant advantage on defense. Marshall allows just yards per game rushing and 2.

Marshall allows just total yards per game while USF allows more than a hundred yards more, at yards per game. Marshall is a legitimate while USF, which enters this game at , could easily be or The Bulls trailed by two scores in the fourth quarter against both Illinois and Tulsa, had a first-quarter deficit in a win over East Carolina and were outgained by yards but still managed to beat Georgia Tech.

Doc Holliday is straight up and against the spread in bowl games, covering by Marshall 27, South Florida Robinson National Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas.

The weather figures to favor the team from Florida, as Toledo will leave chilly Ohio on Dec. Toledo did face the tougher schedule, taking on seven bowl teams this season while FIU faced only three -- the fewest of all bowl teams.

FIU quarterback James Morgan hit 65 percent of his passes this year, with a TD-INT ratio, and faced Toledo in when he was the quarterback at Bowling Green; in that game, he threw for yards with five touchdowns.

Toledo has slight edges at running back, wide receiver and offensive line. FIU has slight edges at quarterback, linebacker and defensive back.

FIU head coach Butch Davis has seen his team overachieve in each of the past two years, and he is in bowl games. The Panthers were a perfect ATS as an underdog this year.

Add it all up, and these teams are close in talent, so I will go with the underdog here. FIU has a nice short flight over to the Bahamas, which has to feel like a business trip.

Toledo is a team I feel has been a little overrated this year, because I think its defense is a bit limited. Both teams went to backup quarterbacks at the end of the season, but for different reasons and with different levels of success.

BYU put backup quarterback Zach Wilson in as the starter for its last six games and went ATS in that stretch -- with their losses coming by a combined 14 points.

Western Michigan lost starting quarterback Jon Wassink to injury against Toledo and went down the stretch, with their losses coming by a combined 73 points.

True freshman Kaleb Eleby did hit 65 percent of his passes for the Broncos, and was my No. The Broncos also have the edge at wide receiver and on the offensive line.

BYU has my No. BYU also has the special-teams edge and took on the tougher schedule, facing five Power 5 teams in the process. BYU is used to the altitude, and the Cougars will have the crowd edge and figure to win the game.

However, my system calls for BYU to have only a yard edge, and that has me taking the double-digit underdog here. BYU 28, Western Michigan BYU was hoping for a better bowl in a warmer climate, but the Cougars will have to settle for a return visit to the blue turf, where they dropped a decision to Boise State back in the first week of November.

This is a young team, in poor overall health, with some key players out. Other players are getting married during the break, while some will have to take exams at the bowl site due to the timing of the game relative to the academic calendar.

The Broncos missed the postseason last year despite a record, and are a very bowl-grateful team this time around.

Western Michigan 24, BYU Wake Forest 45, Memphis Memphis lost both of their coordinators for this game as they moved on to new jobs.

Memphis is the much stronger team statistically, as they outgained foes by yards per game while Wake got outgained by 21 yards per game, but the Demon Deacons took on the much tougher schedule, which included Notre Dame and Clemson.

I am going to focus on the total in this one. Memphis has an explosive offense, as running back Darrell Henderson averaged an incredible 8.

The Tigers still have Patrick Taylor and Tony Pollard , who combine for 1, yards rushing and 20 touchdowns. On the opposite side of the ball, though, Memphis has my No.

Wake has an explosive offense that topped yards five times this year, including dynamic slot receiver Greg Dortch. The Demon Deacon defense allowed foes 64 yards per game more than they averaged the rest of the season, which is No.

Even without Henderson, this one should be a high-scoring affair. Over 74 Predicted score: Memphis 45, Wake Forest Houston allows just about yards on the ground per game -- yards, to be exact.

That is just not a good stat when you get ready to line up and face the Black Knights, who average yards per game on the ground.

I like Army in this game, but I do want to point out a stat that blew my mind. Army faced only offensive plays, so they allowed 5.

Most teams have a little rust after sitting out weeks before their bowl game, but Army played just 14 days ago while Houston has been off for 28 days.

It may also be worth noting that Army head coach Jeff Monken is in bowl games. While Buffalo will be excited about being in a bowl, it is traveling 1, miles while Troy is traveling just miles -- essentially making this a Troy home game in Alabama.

The Bulls have the edge at running back and on the offensive line, which gives them the clear advantage on offense. Troy has a top-five special-teams unit, while Buffalo comes in at No.

Troy head coach Neal Brown is in bowl games. With the crowd edge accounted for, I have Troy as four points better despite them being the betting underdog in this one.

Leipold and much of his staff came from Division III powerhouse Wisconsin-Whitewater, so these coaches have plenty of experience preparing for the postseason playoffs, but none for a bowl game.

One thing that is familiar is the travel, as the Bulls will be playing their fourth straight game away from home. That has taken a toll, as has the sting of blowing a third-quarter lead en route to losing the MAC title game to Northern Illinois.

The Trojans are on familiar ground: Louisiana Tech has slight edges at running back and on the offensive line, and a significant advantage on defense.

The star of this game is defensive end Jaylon Furguson , who had 15 sacks and 8. Rolovich is in his lone bowl game, but Skip Holtz is a perfect in bowl games at Louisiana Tech -- winning those four games by an average of I will side with the much stronger defensive team in this game.

These teams are both more than 1, miles away from home in this bowl game, so the crowd will likely be split.

Boston College finished the season with a thud and, much like the FPI rankings that favor Boise, my ratings have Boise as the stronger team.

Boise State outgained its opponents by yards per game this season, while Boston College outgained their opponents by just 5 yards per game. When I broke down the individual units, Boise had the edge at quarterback, with Brett Rypien throwing for 3, yards and completing 67 percent of his passes with a TD-INT ratio.

All the other advantages were in favor of Boston College, though. Boston College has one of the top offensive lines in the country and, on the defensive side, has the edge at linebacker.

While the Eagles numbers are not as strong, they faced a much tougher schedule that featured nine Power Five foes, versus just one for Boise State.

When I line up the talent, I rate Boston College as the stronger team despite them being the underdog in this matchup. Boston College 27, Boise State If the Eagles loses this one, head coach Steve Addazio will finish with a record for the fifth time in his six seasons in Chestnut Hill.

With that being said, he just signed a two-year extension after the regular season, so the administration is in his corner This game should be fun to watch, as it features two of my favorite running backs in college football.

AJ Dillon from BC has fought through injuries this season missed two games after busting onto the national scene as a freshman, but he still managed to rush for over yards and 10 touchdowns.

On the other side, junior Alexander Mattison went for 1, yards and 17 TDs this season, including yards over his last two games. I think the underdog wins a close game.

Boston College 28, Boise State Minnesota does have a few edges on paper, at wide receiver with Tyler Johnson as well as on special team.

The Golden Gophers should also have a slight home edge, with this bowl game in Big Ten country. Georgia Tech has much larger edges at quarterback, with both TaQuon Marshall and Tobias Oliver serving as capable signal-callers.

The Yellow Jackets also have the edge at running back and offensive line. Those edges are reflected in the numbers; Minnesota allowed yards per game rushing, including a mindboggling 7.

Add in that the Golden Gophers have not faced an option team in a long time, and Georgia Tech appears to have what it takes to send Paul Johnson out a winner.

Georgia Tech 38, Minnesota TCU came into the season ranked No. California was hoping to get to a bowl game this year and did, going to earn just its second bowl berth in eight years.

TCU had an injury-plagued year and should be healthier for this game. Cal may be a little more excited to be here, and the Golden Bears have slight edges at linebacker and defensive back.

TCU does have the edge at running back, receiver and on both the offensive and defensive lines. TCU has taken on nine bowl teams while Cal has faced just five bowl teams.

TCU rates as the stronger team, as the stats are relatively even despite TCU facing the tougher slate. Head coach Gary Patterson is in bowl games, while this is the first bowl game for Golden Bears coach Justin Wilcox.

A loss would deal the Frogs a losing season, which feels like it would derail some of the momentum built up over three double-digit-win seasons the past four years.

Cal was actually worse against a mediocre Pac th , but its defense has been great all season, allowing just 25 touchdowns -- the same number as Michigan, and one fewer than Alabama has allowed all year.

Temple head coach Geoff Collins has taken the job at Georgia Tech, so for the second time in three years, Ed Foley will serve as the interim head coach for the Owls.

In the Military Bowl in , Collins coached Temple as a point favorite but lost outright. Duke has the clear edge at head coach, with David Cutcliffe guiding them to four straight bowl covers.

Duke had one of the top defenses in the ACC but got banged up midseason; the Blue Devils allowed yards per game over the first seven games, but then allowed yards per game over their last five.

With many of those injured players still out, Temple has the edge on defense. Temple has the stronger return game and kicker, giving them the overall edge on special teams.

Temple is plus yards per game on the year against bowl teams, and Duke is minus yards per game, but Duke has faced the tougher schedule.

I will call for Cutliffe to get his fifth straight bowl cover. We all know these two teams played in the Orange Bowl last year and the Badgers overcame a double digit deficit to came back to win by 10 as a favorite of around a touchdown, no less.

QB play on both sides has been suspect all season, and the defenses have been way below what these schools expect on an annual basis.

In fact, these two programs are my most disappointing teams of after they were both ranked in the top 10 before the season.

I trust the Wisconsin offensive line brings it in this game. Cold weather could be a factor in this game, as it will be played at Yankee Stadium.

Last year these two teams met in Miami, and this year the meeting will be in much colder conditions, which should favor Wisconsin.

The Badgers have an offensive line that was a semifinalist for the coveted Joe Moore Award, along with Jonathan Taylor , arguably the top running back in college football -- giving them the edge in both of those spots.

Badgers quarterback Alex Hornibrook had perhaps the best game of his career against Miami a season ago, hitting 23 of 34 passes with four touchdowns.

That raised expectations for Hornibrook in , but he has thrown for just 1, yards with 13 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

Miami has my No. Defensive tackle Gerald Willis is a beast, the Hurricanes have my No. Wisconsin historically has had a top defense most years, but their defense is just slightly above average this time around.

Vanderbilt -2 PickCenter consensus: When I talked to Baylor head coach Matt Rhule in the spring, his parting words were that he thought the Bears would get to a bowl.

I doubted him, but I guess he was right. Baylor outgained their foes by 28 yards per game, while Vanderbilt was pipped by 22 yards per game.

Vanderbilt faced the tougher schedule, which included both Notre Dame and Georgia. Baylor will be without top receiver Jalen Hurd and kicker Drew Galitz , who are both injured.

Baylor has the edge on defense and this game is in Texas, so they figure to have the crowd edge. Both teams are and will fight hard to avoid a losing season.

With the game essentially looking like a toss-up, I will lean with the underdog. Vanderbilt 26, Baylor Auburn was a top team at the start of the year and it has to be disappointed to be here, while Purdue was just hoping to make a bowl and beat rival Indiana in their last game to get here.

The Boilermakers figure to be riding a wave of momentum, with head coach Jeff Brohm turning down the job at his alma mater Louisville and opting to stay at Purdue -- and he is in bowl games.

It would have shocked you at the start of the year to say this, but Purdue has a slight edge at quarterback with David Blough throwing for 1, yards more than Jarrett Stidham and having a to advantage in passing touchdowns.

Purdue also has the most electrifying player on the field in true freshman Rondale Moore , who is a threat to score any time he has the ball and will get the ball receiving, rushing and on kick returns.

While those factors make a good case for Purdue, all of the other positions favor Auburn. The Tigers have a good-sized edge on all three layers of defense and held foes to 46 yards below their season averages, while Purdue allowed opponents 29 yards per game above their season averages.

I give Auburn slim edges at running back and on the offensive line, as well as a solid edge on special teams. Gus Malzahn is in bowl games, and his team is just since they beat Alabama last year to rise to No.

In the preseason Auburn would have been a double-digit favorite, and they need to show their talent edge here. I guess Auburn is favored on name and conference recognition, because if you look at the teams that Auburn and Purdue have beaten, I think the Boilermakers have a better collection of wins.

And certainly have the better offense. Purdue 31, Auburn Purdue is short-handed along the defensive line, and this is a defense against which the struggling Tigers can finally make some hay on the ground.

Auburn also has a big speed advantage on the outside, and the Purdue secondary will have a tough time covering this wideout group, especially in the one-on-one situations created by play-action if the Tigers get their running game cranked up.

The Boilers counter with an elite playcaller in head coach Jeff Brohm, an excellent quarterback in Blough and a superstar wideout in Moore.

This Boilers -- especially Moore -- are going to get theirs on offense, even against a tough SEC defense. Auburn 38, Purdue I just find it very odd that with all the hype Will Grier had coming out of high school, he will finish his career not having played in one bowl game in his career at Florida and West Virginia.

The other element I look at with these teams is where their expectations stood before the season began. The feeling here is that the Orange will come in more focused, led by their do-everything QB Eric Dungey , who has thrown for over 2.

Syracuse 38, West Virginia Last year West Virginia was without quarterback Will Grier for their bowl game due to an injury, and a 6-foot-1, lightly recruited backup hit 9-of for yards and took a pair of sacks in a point loss to Utah.

The new quarterback is 6-foot-6 Jack Allison , who was my No. To this point, however, Allison has just 10 career pass attempts for the Mountaineers.

West Virginia opened as a seven-point favorite, but the line dropped to West Virginia by 1. Syracuse has a potent offense led by quarterback Eric Dungey and wide receiver Jamal Custis.

The Orange defense has 38 sacks and rates No. West Virginia has played the tougher schedule, but Syracuse has the edge on special teams -- led by First-team All American kicker Andre Szmyt.

I had West Virginia as a field goal favorite with Grier, so I like Syracuse to win this game outright. Syracuse 37, West Virginia This could be my favorite of all the bowl games.

These are two teams that will be excited about being here, with two great fan bases, but I like the Cyclones on the field. Interestingly, Washington State has had a couple of very puzzling bowl performances in the past two years; the Cougars got blown out by Michigan State last year, and scored just 12 points in a loss to a depleted Minnesota team in Maybe the Cougars will bounce back this year, but keep in mind that Mike Leach-coached teams are ATS in their past eight bowl games at Washington State.

Miami, which had fired Al Golden and was in the midst of a coaching change. Iowa State 31, Washington State Will the Cougars come out angry and with something to prove, or will they be disappointed?

That may be the key to this game. Washington State gains 52 yards per game above what their opponents typically allow, and Iowa State gains 36 yards per game less than their foes usually allow.

Iowa State has a solid defense, which allows yards per game playing in the offensive-minded Big 12, but Washington State is also solid on defense, so only a slight edge to Iowa State on that side of the ball.

Iowa State performs well as an underdog, with a ATS record in that role under Matt Campbell, and his teams are also straight up in bowl games. Iowa State figures to have a slight crowd edge, and has small special-teams and strength-of-schedule edges.

I am going to bank on Washington State coming in with something to prove. While their last game was a battle in a blizzard, the Cougars get to play this bowl game in perfect indoor conditions.

Washington State 31, Iowa State While the Cyclones are dialed in on what they see as a historic opportunity, Wazzu coaches heavily emphasized recruiting efforts in the first two weeks after the Apple Cup, and that has come with a cost to bowl prep.

The price of 3. This number was close to a touchdown back on Dec. Michigan figures to come into this game a very determined team. Michigan is a perfect against Florida all-time, including a bowl win in and regular-season win last year.

Florida has three losses this year, and they were by 11, 19 and 21 points. I could make a good case for Michigan, but Florida head coach Dan Mullen is in bowl games and the Gators field what may be the fastest defense in the SEC.

I am going to look at the total here, which is Florida took on four of my top rated defenses this year and totaled just The final score of that Ohio State-Michigan game pushed this total up into the fifties, and I will take advantage.

Michigan 23, Florida Virginia was picked to finish last in the Coastal division by the ACC media in the preseason, but opened the year before dropping their last three ACC games.

Virginia allowed just yards per game rushing over the first eight games, but that number ballooned to yards per game on the ground over its final four games.

Virginia has the edge on defense, led by a top-notch secondary that finished No. South Carolina 30, Virginia Nevada is miles away from the site of the Arizona Bowl, while Arkansas State is 1, miles away, so neither team should have much of a crowd edge.

Nevada quarterback Ty Gangi has been very steady over the past two years, hitting 61 percent of his passes with TD-INT ratios of and Justice Hansen is an Oklahoma transfer who last year completed 63 percent with a ratio.

While Hansen threw for fewer yards this season for Arkansas State, he improved to a 67 percent completion rate with a ratio. I give the edge at running back and receiver to the Red Wolves, and they have the stronger offense.

Arkansas State has two All-Sun Belt players on defense -- defensive linemen Ronheen Bingham , who had nine sacks, as well as nickelback Justin Clifton.

I was surprised Arkansas State allowed 5 yards per carry this year. Nevada also allows just 3. I give Arkansas State the slight talent edge, and head coach Blake Anderson is in his fifth bowl while this is the first for Jay Norvell, so I will lean with the Red Wolves here.

Arkansas State 35, Nevada This spring, when I went over the defense with Virginia Tech defensive coordinator Bud Foster, I commented to him afterward that it was one of the youngest defenses in the country and I hoped he did not lose any of his key starters, as the unit was thin.

The Hokies then lost three projected starters, including both starting CBs, over the summer, and then two more starters during the season.

After holding foes to 86 yards per game below their season averages last year, the Hokies allowed opponents 55 yards per game above their season averages this year, which is No.

Despite those numbers, and given the youth and inexperience, I feel coach Foster did a solid job. Cincinnati, on the other hand, has a veteran defense that is holding foes yards per game below their season averages, which is the sixth-best mark in the country.

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